South Beach Condos Blog

I get a fair number of calls from Miami Beach real estate sellers asking me for my opinion on why their condo hasn’t sold. I try to help as many people as I can, but sometimes they really aren’t looking for my honest opinion, they want me to confirm their thoughts, which I can’t do. I have to give the information that I know is right. It’s not easy, but this video from real estate maven Barbara Corcoran offers tips, tricks, good ideas and just plain old good-advice.

Here are some common mistakes when selling your Miami Beach or South Beach condo:

1. Making small price reductions. I’ve said it before, so I don’t have to say it again.
2. Hiring the wrong agent. Having a competent, professional agent is more important than ever.
3. Waiting “out” the market. There are many, many, many people thinking that exact same thing.
4. Showing a cluttered home. The competition is stiff, folks. Clean, paint and unclutter.
5. Not taking the first offer. Two out of three times, the first offer is YOUR best offer!

I was watching Channel 7 News last week when a special segment about real estate foreclosures in South Florida aired.  I felt badly for the people in this story that are losing their homes but there are two messages in the video segment below which I feel may be beneficial to some.

It is my feeling that foreclosures in general ARE NOT the best buys for one reason:  the majority of the foreclosures that are available were originally purchased at or near the “peak” of the market—and the banks have lent too much money on these properties.  Since the banks are owed so much money on a typical foreclosed property, they don’t have the ability to sell it at today’s market price.  From WSVN’s Foreclosure Forced Out

Auctioneer: “Welcome to the mortgage foreclosure sale.”

Each week, hundreds of properties in foreclosure are auctioned off.

Auctioneer: ”Home Equity Mortgage Corp. vs. Butler.”

On this day, for the first time in 21 years, not a single property sold, the banks had to keep them all.

Luis Valdeon: “The banks lent too much money. They did first mortgage and second mortgages, and they’re completely off of what the price really are, and that’s why everything is so high; you can’t sell them.”

And the foreclosed properties are piling up.

Click Above to Play Video

Why The Miami Beach Real Estate Market Isn’t That Bad

This is a five year history for the South Beach condo market for area code 33139.  The dark green bar represents condo sales and the light green bar represents condo units on the market.

I know that some of the numbers are a bit hard to read but they really don’t matter anyway.  What matters is the incredible amout of inventory (light green bar) that started to accumulate in May 2005.  The number of sales are off from the peak, but nothing alarming.  The real story here is the amount of inventory on the market.  People have not stopped buying here and Miami Beach real estate continues to sell if it is priced right.  If you need to sell your Miami Beach condo, PRICE IT RIGHT.  If you don’t need to sell your condo, now is NOT the time to sell and you should take it off the market until some of the inventory gets absorbed.  More from Foreclosure Forced Out

Barry Habib: “There’s no simple solution.”

Barry Habib is a nationally known mortgage expert. His advice? Get out before you get in trouble.

Barry Habib: “If they have equity in it, they’ve got to find a way to protect that equity. Put the house up for sale. Don’t be greedy. Don’t try and put it up at an unrealistic number. Homes sell, and they sell very quickly if they’re priced right in every market.”

This month I have started to feel that Miami Beach condo sellers are coming to terms with the reality of the “new” market. The impending wave of new condos “across the bridge” will no doubt bring down the market as a whole. Don’t worry, the best properties in the best locations are the LAST to go down and the FIRST to come up!

Three new luxury buildings will be added to the Miami Beach real estate mix: Continuum II, Apogee South Beach and Canyon Ranch Living Miami Beach. It will be interesting to see how many speculators place their units on the market at Continuum II.  Since Apogee South Beach has so few units (67), I think that any inventory that comes to market will be quickly absorbed.

So….You Want to Buy a Condo in South Beach?—What to Do

Always be guided by your gut instinct. Never let anyone talk you into something that you don’t feel is quite right. Even in this wobbly market, I would have NO problem buying a unit a Continuum, NONE! Here’s why: Location and supply and demand.

Kevin’s Recommendations

Continuum I. I believe it is actually a steal. Yup, UNDER-PRICED!

Apogee South Beach. This building is very pricey but will no doubt become the most prestigious condominium in ALL of South Florida. To be delivered later this year.

Canyon Ranch Living Miami Beach. One of the only projects along with Setai South Beach that is actually a destination.

One Bal Harbour. Arguably one of the two best locations in all of South Florida.

ICON South Beach. This one is all about timing. There is a lot of inventory on the market and not many condo sales. The owners that need to sell will be in reality VERY SOON.

Miami Beach Real Estate Condo Buying Tips:

• East and Southeast exposures are the most desired. If the condominium is on the bay, then the Southwest exposure would be the preferred exposure.
• Two bedroom units are better than three bedroom units (larger pool of buyers)
• If you can find a luxury condo on the ocean with one bedroom units with eastern exposure, those are rare. Continuum II has some and so does Canyon Ranch Living. They are gold. Developers typically give the larger units the preferred east exposure.
• Never buy a “flow-through” unit without seeing it or taking a tour of others. Some people like them—some people don’t.
• Corner “flow-through” units (three exposures) are rare. Apogee has them and so does Canyon Ranch Living. Great on paper, GREATER in reality.

Miami Beach Condos, Miami Beach real estate, One Bal Harbour, South Beach real estate, South Beach condos, Continuum II South Beach, Canyon Ranch Living Miami Beach

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Sorry about the late update of the October installment of the South Beach condo statistics. I just re-launched my new website. The new website, www.kevintomlinson.com, has incredible and first-ever features like the ability to track changes of the list price of all Miami Beach condos (or at least the ones represented on the site).

South Beach Real Estate Blog: Your Miami Beach Real Estate On-line Newsroom

Ok, so historically, August and September are the slowest months of the year with regard to Miami Beach real estate sales activity. The numbers from last month’s post don’t really reflect anything earth-shattering.

This data is based on information from the Southeast Florida Regional (SEFR) MLS or from the associations participating in the SEFR for the period 1/1/07 through 10/3/2007.

This South Beach condo analysis covers the South Beach condos: Continuum South Beach, Murano at Portofino, Murano Grande, ICON South Beach, Portofino Tower, Yacht Club at Portofino, and South Pointe Tower

Here are some of the highlights:

Continuum had five closings from 9/4/2007–10/3/2007. That is impressive given the time of the year.

Miami Beach Condo Sellers: Time Is NOT Your Friend

Here, surprisingly, the average days on market has actually fallen in every condominium except Murano Grande from the previous months stats. ICON South Beach and Portofino Tower are continuing to choke on their own inventory. Every building except for Murano at Portofino and Continuum has problems with their amount of inventory and time on the market.

I sense that many owners are waiting for “season” before adjusting their prices where they need to be. Being “on the ground,” I know that there are buyers out there, it is just that so many sellers are not being realistic or hearing what the market is telling them.

Kevin’s advice: If you are a serious Miami Beach condo seller, don’t wait until after the “season” (“season” typically is December-June) to re-evaluate your pricing, DO IT NOW! If you plan on re-evaluating your list price, here is a guide to help you do it, the right way.

A normal real estate market dictates that about 10% of the condominium’s units could be available for sale at any given time. Murano Grande, ICON South Beach, and Portofino Tower have way too much inventory. Real estate market fundamentals, like location and supply and demand, are more important than ever.

Here is a quick run-down of the Miami Beach real estate activity in the SoFi neighborhood of South Beach from 9/4/07 thru 10/3/07:

Nine units closed, four of which were in Continuum South Beach

Two units pended (awaiting closing, under contract); both of which were in ICON South Beach

40 units came on the market

• Continuum: 7
• Murano at Portofino: 6
• Murano Grande: 7
• ICON South Beach: 5
• Portofino Tower: 2
• Yacht Club at Portofino: 9
• South Pointe Tower: 4

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